LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 76 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.84 | 71.29 |
| Gap | −4.84 | +4.71 |
| Yield | −19.3% | +2.8% |
Both market films
AlavésAtlético de Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Atlético de Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 13 | +5.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −2.93 | 16 | −3.29 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | −0.38 | 7 | +1.07 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | −1.52 | 2* | +1.91 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Nov 2024 Atlético de Madrid 2 – 1 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 65% | 22% | 2.19 | 3 | +0.81 |
| Alavés | 12% | 22% | 0.59 | 0 | −0.59 |
3 May 2025 Alavés 0 – 0 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 25% | 30% | 1.05 | 1 | −0.05 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 45% | 30% | 1.65 | 1 | −0.65 |