LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 69 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.57 | 68.76 |
| Gap | −1.57 | +0.24 |
| Yield | −10.4% | +1.6% |
Both market films
AlavésAtlético de Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Atlético de Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 11 | +2.51 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | +0.99 | 17 | +0.49 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.42 | 8 | −4.05 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −1.15 | 2* | +1.28 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
30 Aug 2025 Alavés 1 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 18% | 27% | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 56% | 27% | 1.94 | 1 | −0.94 |
18 Jan 2026 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 0 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 70% | 20% | 2.29 | 3 | +0.71 |
| Alavés | 11% | 20% | 0.51 | 0 | −0.51 |