LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Alavés Celta
Matches played3838
Points4255
Points expected by the market46.8452.80
Gap−4.84+2.20
Yield−19.3%−10.8%

Both market films

AlavésCelta

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

AlavésCelta
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 −2.93 −20.4%16 +7.86 +41.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 −0.38 −22.5%11 −0.57 +1.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 −1.52 −16.6%11 −5.10 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

16 Aug 2024 Celta 2 – 1 Alavés

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 46% 30% 1.66 3 +1.34
Alavés 25% 30% 1.04 0 −1.04

27 Jan 2025 Alavés 1 – 1 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Alavés 41% 31% 1.53 1 −0.53
Celta 28% 31% 1.16 1 −0.16