LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Celta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 54 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.57 | 52.42 |
| Gap | −1.57 | +1.58 |
| Yield | −10.4% | +13.3% |
Both market films
AlavésCelta
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Celta | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | +0.99 | 14 | −7.05 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.42 | 14 | +7.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −1.15 | 10 | +1.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
22 Nov 2025 Alavés 0 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 36% | 31% | 1.39 | 0 | −1.39 |
| Celta | 33% | 31% | 1.30 | 3 | +1.70 |
22 Mar 2026 Celta 3 – 4 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 48% | 29% | 1.74 | 0 | −1.74 |
| Alavés | 23% | 29% | 0.97 | 3 | +2.03 |