LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.84 | 46.81 |
| Gap | −4.84 | +5.19 |
| Yield | −19.3% | +1.4% |
Both market films
AlavésRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −2.93 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | −0.38 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | −1.52 | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Oct 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 0 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 47% | 31% | 1.72 | 3 | +1.28 |
| Alavés | 22% | 31% | 0.97 | 0 | −0.97 |
29 Mar 2025 Alavés 0 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 45% | 32% | 1.67 | 0 | −1.67 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 23% | 32% | 1.02 | 3 | +1.98 |