LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.57 | 48.47 |
| Gap | −1.57 | +1.53 |
| Yield | −10.4% | −13.3% |
Both market films
AlavésRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | +0.99 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.42 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −1.15 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Oct 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 0 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 43% | 31% | 1.60 | 3 | +1.40 |
| Alavés | 26% | 31% | 1.08 | 0 | −1.08 |
23 May 2026 Alavés 1 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 44% | 29% | 1.62 | 0 | −1.62 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 27% | 29% | 1.10 | 3 | +1.90 |