LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.84 | 81.45 |
| Gap | −4.84 | +2.55 |
| Yield | −19.3% | −2.4% |
Both market films
AlavésReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −2.93 | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | −0.38 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | −1.52 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Sep 2024 Real Madrid 3 – 2 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 83% | 12% | 2.60 | 3 | +0.40 |
| Alavés | 5% | 12% | 0.28 | 0 | −0.28 |
13 Apr 2025 Alavés 0 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 19% | 25% | 0.82 | 0 | −0.82 |
| Real Madrid | 56% | 25% | 1.93 | 3 | +1.07 |