LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 43 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 44.57 | 80.18 |
| Gap | −1.57 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −10.4% | +5.7% |
Both market films
AlavésReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | +0.99 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −1.42 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | −1.15 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
14 Dec 2025 Alavés 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 16% | 23% | 0.73 | 0 | −0.73 |
| Real Madrid | 60% | 23% | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 |
21 Apr 2026 Real Madrid 2 – 1 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 79% | 13% | 2.50 | 3 | +0.50 |
| Alavés | 8% | 13% | 0.37 | 0 | −0.37 |