LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Alavés | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 42 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 46.84 | 59.88 |
| Gap | −4.84 | +10.12 |
| Yield | −19.3% | +11.5% |
Both market films
AlavésVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Alavés | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | −2.93 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | −0.38 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | −1.52 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
9 Nov 2024 Villarreal 3 – 0 Alavés
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 61% | 24% | 2.06 | 3 | +0.94 |
| Alavés | 15% | 24% | 0.70 | 0 | −0.70 |
8 Mar 2025 Alavés 1 – 0 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 32% | 31% | 1.25 | 3 | +1.75 |
| Villarreal | 38% | 31% | 1.44 | 0 | −1.44 |