LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Almería | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 21 | 38 |
| Points expected by the market | 35.72 | 46.53 |
| Gap | −14.72 | −8.53 |
| Yield | −68.3% | −46.5% |
Both market films
AlmeríaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Almería | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 2* | +0.65 | 8 | −3.68 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | −10.56 | 13 | +2.77 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | −4.82 | 17 | −7.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
11 Aug 2023 Almería 0 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | 36% | 30% | 1.39 | 0 | −1.39 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 34% | 30% | 1.31 | 3 | +1.69 |
5 May 2024 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Almería
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 58% | 25% | 1.98 | 0 | −1.98 |
| Almería | 18% | 25% | 0.77 | 3 | +2.23 |