LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Almería | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 41 | 78 |
| Points expected by the market | 38.20 | 77.52 |
| Gap | +2.80 | +0.48 |
| Yield | −5.3% | −2.4% |
Both market films
AlmeríaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Almería | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 19 | +5.47 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 3* | +1.72 | 13 | −8.64 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | +4.14 | 6 | +3.65 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | −3.05 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
14 Aug 2022 Almería 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | 14% | 19% | 0.61 | 0 | −0.61 |
| Real Madrid | 67% | 19% | 2.20 | 3 | +0.80 |
29 Apr 2023 Real Madrid 4 – 2 Almería
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 85% | 10% | 2.64 | 3 | +0.36 |
| Almería | 5% | 10% | 0.25 | 0 | −0.25 |