LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Almería Real Madrid
Matches played3838
Points2195
Points expected by the market35.7279.59
Gap−14.72+15.41
Yield−68.3%+20.3%

Both market films

AlmeríaReal Madrid

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

AlmeríaReal Madrid
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——19 +7.68 +17.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 2* +0.65 +6.0%15 +4.23 +1.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 −10.56 −100.0%4* +3.50 +104.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 25 −4.82 −60.2%0——

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

19 Aug 2023 Almería 1 – 3 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Almería 14% 19% 0.60 0 −0.60
Real Madrid 68% 19% 2.21 3 +0.79

21 Jan 2024 Real Madrid 3 – 2 Almería

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 86% 10% 2.67 3 +0.33
Almería 5% 10% 0.24 0 −0.24