LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Almería | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 41 | 64 |
| Points expected by the market | 38.20 | 60.71 |
| Gap | +2.80 | +3.29 |
| Yield | −5.3% | +20.0% |
Both market films
AlmeríaVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Almería | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 3* | −0.69 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 3* | +1.72 | 17 | +2.19 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | +4.14 | 13 | 0.00 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | −3.05 | 5 | +1.80 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
23 Oct 2022 Villarreal 2 – 1 Almería
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 70% | 19% | 2.27 | 3 | +0.73 |
| Almería | 12% | 19% | 0.54 | 0 | −0.54 |
4 Mar 2023 Almería 0 – 2 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | 29% | 27% | 1.14 | 0 | −1.14 |
| Villarreal | 44% | 27% | 1.59 | 3 | +1.41 |