LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 69 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 68.76 |
| Gap | −13.61 | +0.24 |
| Yield | −31.9% | +1.6% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubAtlético de Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Atlético de Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 11 | +2.51 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 17 | +0.49 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 8 | −4.05 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 2* | +1.28 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
6 Dec 2025 Athletic Club 1 – 0 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 33% | 30% | 1.28 | 3 | +1.72 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 37% | 30% | 1.42 | 0 | −1.42 |
25 Apr 2026 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 2 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 46% | 27% | 1.65 | 3 | +1.35 |
| Athletic Club | 27% | 27% | 1.08 | 0 | −1.08 |