LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Celta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 70 | 55 |
| Points expected by the market | 61.56 | 52.80 |
| Gap | +8.44 | +2.20 |
| Yield | +7.0% | −10.8% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubCelta
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Celta | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | −0.51 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | +4.78 | 16 | +7.86 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | +6.58 | 11 | −0.57 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 3* | −2.41 | 11 | −5.10 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
22 Sep 2024 Athletic Club 3 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 53% | 27% | 1.86 | 3 | +1.14 |
| Celta | 20% | 27% | 0.87 | 0 | −0.87 |
19 Jan 2025 Celta 1 – 2 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 29% | 30% | 1.15 | 0 | −1.15 |
| Athletic Club | 42% | 30% | 1.55 | 3 | +1.45 |