LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Celta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 54 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 52.42 |
| Gap | −13.61 | +1.58 |
| Yield | −31.9% | +13.3% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubCelta
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Celta | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 14 | −7.05 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 14 | +7.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 10 | +1.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
14 Dec 2025 Celta 2 – 0 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 33% | 30% | 1.29 | 3 | +1.71 |
| Athletic Club | 37% | 30% | 1.40 | 0 | −1.40 |
17 May 2026 Athletic Club 1 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 44% | 30% | 1.61 | 1 | −0.61 |
| Celta | 27% | 30% | 1.09 | 1 | −0.09 |