LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 68 | 38 |
| Points expected by the market | 64.33 | 46.53 |
| Gap | +3.67 | −8.53 |
| Yield | −4.8% | −46.5% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | −0.47 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | +6.35 | 8 | −3.68 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | +1.56 | 13 | +2.77 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 4* | −3.76 | 17 | −7.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
2 Dec 2023 Athletic Club 4 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 66% | 20% | 2.18 | 3 | +0.82 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 14% | 20% | 0.61 | 0 | −0.61 |
25 May 2024 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 1 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 30% | 29% | 1.20 | 0 | −1.20 |
| Athletic Club | 40% | 29% | 1.51 | 3 | +1.49 |