LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 70 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 61.56 | 46.81 |
| Gap | +8.44 | +5.19 |
| Yield | +7.0% | +1.4% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | −0.51 | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | +4.78 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | +6.58 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 3* | −2.41 | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
1 Dec 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 2 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 29% | 32% | 1.20 | 0 | −1.20 |
| Athletic Club | 39% | 32% | 1.48 | 3 | +1.52 |
13 Apr 2025 Athletic Club 3 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 52% | 30% | 1.85 | 3 | +1.15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 19% | 30% | 0.86 | 0 | −0.86 |