LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 48.47 |
| Gap | −13.61 | +1.53 |
| Yield | −31.9% | −13.3% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
25 Aug 2025 Athletic Club 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 55% | 27% | 1.91 | 3 | +1.09 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 19% | 27% | 0.83 | 0 | −0.83 |
28 Feb 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 39% | 31% | 1.47 | 1 | −0.47 |
| Athletic Club | 30% | 31% | 1.22 | 1 | −0.22 |