LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 68 | 95 |
| Points expected by the market | 64.33 | 79.59 |
| Gap | +3.67 | +15.41 |
| Yield | −4.8% | +20.3% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | −0.47 | 19 | +7.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | +6.35 | 15 | +4.23 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | +1.56 | 4* | +3.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 4* | −3.76 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
12 Aug 2023 Athletic Club 0 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 29% | 28% | 1.15 | 0 | −1.15 |
| Real Madrid | 43% | 28% | 1.57 | 3 | +1.43 |
31 Mar 2024 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 61% | 23% | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 |
| Athletic Club | 17% | 23% | 0.73 | 0 | −0.73 |