LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 80.18 |
| Gap | −13.61 | +5.82 |
| Yield | −31.9% | +5.7% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
3 Dec 2025 Athletic Club 0 – 3 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 23% | 26% | 0.93 | 0 | −0.93 |
| Real Madrid | 52% | 26% | 1.81 | 3 | +1.19 |
23 May 2026 Real Madrid 4 – 2 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 62% | 20% | 2.05 | 3 | +0.95 |
| Athletic Club | 18% | 20% | 0.75 | 0 | −0.75 |