LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 52.07 |
| Gap | −13.61 | −6.07 |
| Yield | −31.9% | −31.7% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Real Sociedad | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 11 | +0.84 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 16 | −4.28 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 11 | −2.63 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
1 Nov 2025 Real Sociedad 3 – 2 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 35% | 33% | 1.37 | 3 | +1.63 |
| Athletic Club | 32% | 33% | 1.30 | 0 | −1.30 |
1 Feb 2026 Athletic Club 1 – 1 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 43% | 30% | 1.59 | 1 | −0.59 |
| Real Sociedad | 27% | 30% | 1.11 | 1 | −0.11 |