LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 43 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 46.95 |
| Gap | −13.61 | −3.95 |
| Yield | −31.9% | −3.9% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubSevilla
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Sevilla | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 9 | −6.51 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 16 | +2.07 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 13 | +0.49 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
17 Aug 2025 Athletic Club 3 – 2 Sevilla
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 60% | 25% | 2.06 | 3 | +0.94 |
| Sevilla | 15% | 25% | 0.69 | 0 | −0.69 |
24 Jan 2026 Sevilla 2 – 1 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 36% | 32% | 1.40 | 3 | +1.60 |
| Athletic Club | 32% | 32% | 1.28 | 0 | −1.28 |