LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Athletic Club | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 45 | 49 |
| Points expected by the market | 58.61 | 47.41 |
| Gap | −13.61 | +1.59 |
| Yield | −31.9% | +0.3% |
Both market films
Athletic ClubValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Athletic Club | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 1* | −1.14 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | −2.57 | 7 | −3.29 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | −5.74 | 20 | +8.64 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | −4.15 | 11 | −3.76 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
20 Sep 2025 Valencia 2 – 0 Athletic Club
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 28% | 30% | 1.13 | 3 | +1.87 |
| Athletic Club | 42% | 30% | 1.56 | 0 | −1.56 |
10 May 2026 Athletic Club 0 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 57% | 25% | 1.96 | 0 | −1.96 |
| Valencia | 18% | 25% | 0.79 | 3 | +2.21 |