LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Celta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 55 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 52.80 |
| Gap | +4.71 | +2.20 |
| Yield | +2.8% | −10.8% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridCelta
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Celta | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 16 | +7.86 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 11 | −0.57 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 11 | −5.10 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
26 Sep 2024 Celta 0 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 23% | 27% | 0.96 | 0 | −0.96 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 50% | 27% | 1.77 | 3 | +1.23 |
15 Feb 2025 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 68% | 20% | 2.26 | 1 | −1.26 |
| Celta | 11% | 20% | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 |