LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 88 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 81.73 |
| Gap | +4.71 | +6.27 |
| Yield | +2.8% | +13.2% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridFC Barcelona
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | FC Barcelona | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 21 | +1.83 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 15 | +1.07 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 2* | +3.38 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Dec 2024 FC Barcelona 1 – 2 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 48% | 26% | 1.69 | 0 | −1.69 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 27% | 26% | 1.05 | 3 | +1.95 |
16 Mar 2025 Atlético de Madrid 2 – 4 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 31% | 26% | 1.18 | 0 | −1.18 |
| FC Barcelona | 43% | 26% | 1.55 | 3 | +1.45 |