LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 94 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 82.58 |
| Gap | +0.24 | +11.42 |
| Yield | +1.6% | +14.4% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridFC Barcelona
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | FC Barcelona | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 24 | +6.76 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 13 | +5.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 0 | — | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
2 Dec 2025 FC Barcelona 3 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 56% | 22% | 1.91 | 3 | +1.09 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 22% | 22% | 0.87 | 0 | −0.87 |
4 Apr 2026 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 2 FC Barcelona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 29% | 24% | 1.11 | 0 | −1.11 |
| FC Barcelona | 47% | 24% | 1.65 | 3 | +1.35 |