LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 41 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 44.96 |
| Gap | +0.24 | −3.96 |
| Yield | +1.6% | −13.7% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridGirona
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Girona | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 7 | −5.23 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 15 | −1.12 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 16 | +2.39 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Dec 2025 Girona 0 – 3 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 20% | 25% | 0.84 | 0 | −0.84 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 55% | 25% | 1.90 | 3 | +1.10 |
17 May 2026 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 0 Girona
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 53% | 24% | 1.82 | 3 | +1.18 |
| Girona | 23% | 24% | 0.93 | 0 | −0.93 |