LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 38 |
| Points expected by the market | 70.01 | 46.53 |
| Gap | +5.99 | −8.53 |
| Yield | +11.5% | −46.5% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | +1.95 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | +7.35 | 8 | −3.68 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | −2.45 | 13 | +2.77 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | −0.85 | 17 | −7.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
28 Aug 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 7 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 24% | 29% | 1.02 | 0 | −1.02 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 47% | 29% | 1.69 | 3 | +1.31 |
31 Jan 2024 Atlético de Madrid 2 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 59% | 25% | 2.03 | 3 | +0.97 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 16% | 25% | 0.72 | 0 | −0.72 |