LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 46.81 |
| Gap | +4.71 | +5.19 |
| Yield | +2.8% | +1.4% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
22 Sep 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 18% | 27% | 0.81 | 1 | +0.19 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 55% | 27% | 1.92 | 1 | −0.92 |
24 Apr 2025 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 64% | 22% | 2.13 | 3 | +0.87 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 14% | 22% | 0.64 | 0 | −0.64 |