LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 48.47 |
| Gap | +0.24 | +1.53 |
| Yield | +1.6% | −13.3% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Sep 2025 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 65% | 22% | 2.18 | 3 | +0.82 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 13% | 22% | 0.61 | 0 | −0.61 |
15 Feb 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3 – 0 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 21% | 26% | 0.88 | 3 | +2.12 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 53% | 26% | 1.85 | 0 | −1.85 |