LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 95 |
| Points expected by the market | 70.01 | 79.59 |
| Gap | +5.99 | +15.41 |
| Yield | +11.5% | +20.3% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | +1.95 | 19 | +7.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | +7.35 | 15 | +4.23 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | −2.45 | 4* | +3.50 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | −0.85 | 0 | — | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
24 Sep 2023 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 34% | 29% | 1.31 | 3 | +1.69 |
| Real Madrid | 37% | 29% | 1.40 | 0 | −1.40 |
4 Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 57% | 23% | 1.93 | 1 | −0.93 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 20% | 23% | 0.84 | 1 | +0.16 |