LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 81.45 |
| Gap | +4.71 | +2.55 |
| Yield | +2.8% | −2.4% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
29 Sep 2024 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 1 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 33% | 30% | 1.30 | 1 | −0.30 |
| Real Madrid | 37% | 30% | 1.40 | 1 | −0.40 |
8 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 1 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 48% | 26% | 1.71 | 1 | −0.71 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 26% | 26% | 1.04 | 1 | −0.04 |