LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 80.18 |
| Gap | +0.24 | +5.82 |
| Yield | +1.6% | +5.7% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
27 Sep 2025 Atlético de Madrid 5 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 31% | 27% | 1.19 | 3 | +1.81 |
| Real Madrid | 42% | 27% | 1.54 | 0 | −1.54 |
22 Mar 2026 Real Madrid 3 – 2 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 47% | 25% | 1.66 | 3 | +1.34 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 28% | 25% | 1.10 | 0 | −1.10 |