LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 52.07 |
| Gap | +0.24 | −6.07 |
| Yield | +1.6% | −31.7% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridReal Sociedad
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Real Sociedad | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 11 | +0.84 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 16 | −4.28 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 11 | −2.63 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
4 Jan 2026 Real Sociedad 1 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 24% | 26% | 0.98 | 1 | +0.02 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 50% | 26% | 1.76 | 1 | −0.76 |
7 Mar 2026 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 2 Real Sociedad
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 58% | 24% | 1.97 | 3 | +1.03 |
| Real Sociedad | 18% | 24% | 0.79 | 0 | −0.79 |