LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Atlético de Madrid Sevilla
Matches played3838
Points6943
Points expected by the market68.7646.95
Gap+0.24−3.95
Yield+1.6%−3.9%

Both market films

Atlético de MadridSevilla

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Atlético de MadridSevilla
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 11 +2.51 +8.5%0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 17 +0.49 −4.0%9 −6.51 −55.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 8 −4.05 −29.3%16 +2.07 +20.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 2* +1.28 +133.5%13 +0.49 +2.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

1 Nov 2025 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 0 Sevilla

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Atlético de Madrid 70% 19% 2.30 3 +0.70
Sevilla 11% 19% 0.52 0 −0.52

11 Apr 2026 Sevilla 2 – 1 Atlético de Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Sevilla 42% 27% 1.54 3 +1.46
Atlético de Madrid 30% 27% 1.18 0 −1.18