LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 46 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 47.32 |
| Gap | +4.71 | −1.32 |
| Yield | +2.8% | −14.0% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 1* | +0.76 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 7 | −0.27 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 13 | +3.81 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 17 | −5.62 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
15 Sep 2024 Atlético de Madrid 3 – 0 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 71% | 19% | 2.32 | 3 | +0.68 |
| Valencia | 10% | 19% | 0.48 | 0 | −0.48 |
22 Feb 2025 Valencia 0 – 3 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 24% | 30% | 1.01 | 0 | −1.01 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 47% | 30% | 1.69 | 3 | +1.31 |