LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 49 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 47.41 |
| Gap | +0.24 | +1.59 |
| Yield | +1.6% | +0.3% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridValencia
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Valencia | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 7 | −3.29 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 20 | +8.64 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 11 | −3.76 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
13 Dec 2025 Atlético de Madrid 2 – 1 Valencia
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 73% | 17% | 2.36 | 3 | +0.64 |
| Valencia | 10% | 17% | 0.47 | 0 | −0.47 |
2 May 2026 Valencia 0 – 2 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 55% | 25% | 1.91 | 0 | −1.91 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 20% | 25% | 0.85 | 3 | +2.15 |