LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Atlético de Madrid Villarreal
Matches played3838
Points7764
Points expected by the market69.1560.71
Gap+7.85+3.29
Yield+9.7%+20.0%

Both market films

Atlético de MadridVillarreal

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

Atlético de MadridVillarreal
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 10 +1.85 +7.1%3* −0.69 −7.7%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 +5.97 +28.7%17 +2.19 +8.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 +0.88 +3.7%13 0.00 +5.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 2* −0.85 −100.0%5 +1.80 +111.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

21 Aug 2022 Atlético de Madrid 0 – 2 Villarreal

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Atlético de Madrid 50% 28% 1.78 0 −1.78
Villarreal 22% 28% 0.94 3 +2.06

4 Jun 2023 Villarreal 2 – 2 Atlético de Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Villarreal 35% 25% 1.31 1 −0.31
Atlético de Madrid 39% 25% 1.44 1 −0.44