LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 76 | 70 |
| Points expected by the market | 71.29 | 59.88 |
| Gap | +4.71 | +10.12 |
| Yield | +2.8% | +11.5% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | +5.03 | 4* | +2.68 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | −3.29 | 15 | +3.71 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | +1.07 | 13 | +4.99 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.91 | 6 | −1.26 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
19 Aug 2024 Villarreal 2 – 2 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 27% | 27% | 1.09 | 1 | −0.09 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 46% | 27% | 1.64 | 1 | −0.64 |
25 Jan 2025 Atlético de Madrid 1 – 1 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 49% | 27% | 1.73 | 1 | −0.73 |
| Villarreal | 24% | 27% | 1.00 | 1 | 0.00 |