LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Atlético de Madrid | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 69 | 72 |
| Points expected by the market | 68.76 | 59.52 |
| Gap | +0.24 | +12.48 |
| Yield | +1.6% | +11.5% |
Both market films
Atlético de MadridVillarreal
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Atlético de Madrid | Villarreal | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | +2.51 | 5 | +4.03 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | +0.49 | 14 | +9.95 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | −4.05 | 12 | +1.62 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 2* | +1.28 | 7 | −3.13 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
13 Sep 2025 Atlético de Madrid 2 – 0 Villarreal
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 53% | 26% | 1.86 | 3 | +1.14 |
| Villarreal | 21% | 26% | 0.89 | 0 | −0.89 |
24 May 2026 Villarreal 5 – 1 Atlético de Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 38% | 25% | 1.39 | 3 | +1.61 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 37% | 25% | 1.37 | 0 | −1.37 |