LaLiga 2022-23 · Data up to 4 Jun 2023

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Celta Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4349
Points expected by the market51.9648.90
Gap−8.96+0.10
Yield−30.6%+3.9%

Both market films

CeltaRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

CeltaRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* +0.70 +36.0%0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 9 −0.87 −17.3%11 −1.59 −16.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 18 −5.72 −23.8%12 −1.58 −3.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 10 −3.07 −61.4%15 +3.26 +24.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

10 Nov 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 46% 31% 1.69 1 −0.69
Celta 23% 31% 1.01 1 −0.01

11 Mar 2023 Celta 3 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 46% 29% 1.68 3 +1.32
Rayo Vallecano 25% 29% 1.03 0 −1.03