LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Celta Rayo Vallecano
Matches played3838
Points4138
Points expected by the market50.2746.53
Gap−9.27−8.53
Yield−35.0%−46.5%

Both market films

CeltaRayo Vallecano

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

CeltaRayo Vallecano
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——0——
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −3.15 −34.4%8 −3.68 −29.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 −3.25 −35.1%13 +2.77 +12.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 −2.86 −35.5%17 −7.62 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

11 Dec 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0 – 0 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Rayo Vallecano 36% 30% 1.37 1 −0.37
Celta 34% 30% 1.33 1 −0.33

31 Mar 2024 Celta 0 – 0 Rayo Vallecano

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 50% 28% 1.77 1 −0.77
Rayo Vallecano 23% 28% 0.96 1 +0.04