LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 55 | 52 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.80 | 46.81 |
| Gap | +2.20 | +5.19 |
| Yield | −10.8% | +1.4% |
Both market films
CeltaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 2* | −0.41 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | +7.86 | 5 | −2.02 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | −0.57 | 15 | +3.58 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | −5.10 | 16 | +4.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
10 Jan 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 33% | 30% | 1.31 | 3 | +1.69 |
| Celta | 36% | 30% | 1.39 | 0 | −1.39 |
18 May 2025 Celta 1 – 2 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 50% | 27% | 1.77 | 0 | −1.77 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 23% | 27% | 0.96 | 3 | +2.04 |