LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 54 | 50 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.42 | 48.47 |
| Gap | +1.58 | +1.53 |
| Yield | +13.3% | −13.3% |
Both market films
CeltaRayo Vallecano
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Rayo Vallecano | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 0 | — | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | −7.05 | 10 | +1.44 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | +7.50 | 17 | −0.73 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | +1.13 | 11 | +0.82 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
21 Sep 2025 Rayo Vallecano 1 – 1 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 47% | 28% | 1.68 | 1 | −0.68 |
| Celta | 25% | 28% | 1.04 | 1 | −0.04 |
18 Jan 2026 Celta 3 – 0 Rayo Vallecano
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 50% | 29% | 1.78 | 3 | +1.22 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 21% | 29% | 0.93 | 0 | −0.93 |