LaLiga 2019-20 · Data up to 19 Jul 2020

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Celta Real Madrid
Matches played3838
Points3787
Points expected by the market49.9278.92
Gap−12.92+8.08
Yield−45.4%+4.8%

Both market films

CeltaReal Madrid

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

CeltaReal Madrid
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* −2.17 −100.0%21 +2.53 +1.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 −5.43 −62.1%14 +3.94 +13.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 −9.50 −43.8%2* +1.45 +30.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 +4.18 −29.1%1* +0.15 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

17 Aug 2019 Celta 1 – 3 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 19% 22% 0.81 0 −0.81
Real Madrid 58% 22% 1.97 3 +1.03

16 Feb 2020 Real Madrid 2 – 2 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 78% 15% 2.48 1 −1.48
Celta 8% 15% 0.37 1 +0.63