LaLiga 2020-21 · Data up to 23 May 2021

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Celta Real Madrid
Matches played3838
Points5384
Points expected by the market50.6176.77
Gap+2.39+7.23
Yield+10.9%+12.0%

Both market films

CeltaReal Madrid

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

CeltaReal Madrid
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 1* +0.84 +48.0%17 −4.42 −12.9%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 10 +5.77 +28.4%15 +5.54 +6.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 −1.22 −26.7%5 +4.10 +57.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 −3.00 +40.4%1* +2.02 +293.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

2 Jan 2021 Real Madrid 2 – 0 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 61% 22% 2.04 3 +0.96
Celta 17% 22% 0.74 0 −0.74

20 Mar 2021 Celta 1 – 3 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 19% 24% 0.81 0 −0.81
Real Madrid 57% 24% 1.95 3 +1.05