LaLiga 2023-24 · Data up to 26 May 2024

Head to head

How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.

vs
Season Celta Real Madrid
Matches played3838
Points4195
Points expected by the market50.2779.59
Gap−9.27+15.41
Yield−35.0%+20.3%

Both market films

CeltaReal Madrid

Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.

CeltaReal Madrid
Odds band Matches playedMPGapYield Matches playedMPGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0——19 +7.68 +17.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 −3.15 −34.4%15 +4.23 +1.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 −3.25 −35.1%4* +3.50 +104.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 −2.86 −35.5%0——

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).

Their meeting this season

25 Aug 2023 Celta 0 – 1 Real Madrid

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Celta 21% 25% 0.89 0 −0.89
Real Madrid 54% 25% 1.86 3 +1.14

10 Mar 2024 Real Madrid 4 – 0 Celta

TeamWinDrawExpectedExp.PointsPtsGap
Real Madrid 73% 17% 2.35 3 +0.65
Celta 10% 17% 0.48 0 −0.48