LaLiga 2024-25 · Data up to 25 May 2025
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 55 | 84 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.80 | 81.45 |
| Gap | +2.20 | +2.55 |
| Yield | −10.8% | −2.4% |
Both market films
CeltaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 24 | +2.64 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | +7.86 | 10 | +1.46 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | −0.57 | 3* | −0.52 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | −5.10 | 1* | −1.03 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
19 Oct 2024 Celta 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 17% | 22% | 0.73 | 0 | −0.73 |
| Real Madrid | 61% | 22% | 2.05 | 3 | +0.95 |
4 May 2025 Real Madrid 3 – 2 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 70% | 17% | 2.27 | 3 | +0.73 |
| Celta | 13% | 17% | 0.56 | 0 | −0.56 |