LaLiga 2025-26 · Data up to 24 May 2026
Head to head
How two teams are doing against what the market expected. Verified statistical context, not predictions.
| Season | Celta | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 38 | 38 |
| Points | 54 | 86 |
| Points expected by the market | 52.42 | 80.18 |
| Gap | +1.58 | +5.82 |
| Yield | +13.3% | +5.7% |
Both market films
CeltaReal Madrid
Each team's cumulative gap, match by match. Above the 0 line, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Each team's matches grouped by the average closing odds on it to win.
| Celta | Real Madrid | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | Gap | Matches playedMP | Gap | ||
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | 22 | +0.02 | ||
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | −7.05 | 13 | +6.69 | ||
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | +7.50 | 2* | −0.02 | ||
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | +1.13 | 1* | −0.88 | ||
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative (marked with *).
Their meeting this season
7 Dec 2025 Real Madrid 0 – 2 Celta
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 75% | 15% | 2.41 | 0 | −2.41 |
| Celta | 10% | 15% | 0.44 | 3 | +2.56 |
6 Mar 2026 Celta 1 – 2 Real Madrid
| Team | Win | Draw | ExpectedExp. | PointsPts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta | 32% | 29% | 1.24 | 0 | −1.24 |
| Real Madrid | 40% | 29% | 1.48 | 3 | +1.52 |